PRODRAFTSTATS™PRODRAFTSTATS™Minnesota stayed unbeaten on defense. Indianapolis threw for 64 net yards. Final: Minnesota Vikings 16, Indianapolis Colts 10.
Jonathan Taylor was nearly the whole Indianapolis offense in Minneapolis, and his full-PPR line came in just above our sealed number. He ran 18 times for 95 yards, including a 38-yard touchdown in the first quarter, and caught two passes for 15 yards: 19.0 points against our 18.85. The Colts did not score again after halftime and lost 16-10.
Minnesota’s pass rush decided it. Daniel Jones was sacked four times for 44 yards, and the Colts finished with 64 net passing yards. Jones completed 13 of 22 for 108 yards with an interception, which came to 3.62 points against the 12.61 we sealed. Tyler Warren, who was at 11.90 on our sealed table, missed his second straight game with a groin injury, according to the game story on ESPN, so he is not in the comparison below.
The Vikings won without much offense either. Kyler Murray threw for 150 yards and ran for 39, and his one touchdown pass, a 5-yarder to T.J. Hockenson early in the fourth quarter, gave Minnesota its first lead at 13-10. Murray finished at 13.9 against our 12.70. Hockenson caught four of five targets for 35 yards and the score, 13.5 against our 9.43.
Justin Jefferson saw seven targets and caught four for 44 yards (8.4 against 13.74). Aaron Jones carried eight times for 26 yards and caught one pass for no gain, 3.6 points against our 14.32. He aggravated a knee injury in the fourth quarter on the low hit that ended a 17-yard run, according to the ESPN story. Will Reichard kicked three field goals, the last from 52 yards with 1:39 left.
| Player | Our sealed number | Box score | Pass pts | Rush pts | Rec pts | Other | Full-PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor (IND RB) | 18.85 | 18 car, 95 yds, 1 TD; 2/3 rec-tgt, 15 yds | 0.00 | 15.50 | 3.50 | 0.00 | 19.0 |
| Aaron Jones (MIN RB) | 14.32 | 8 car, 26 yds; 1/1 rec-tgt, 0 yds | 0.00 | 2.60 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.6 |
| Justin Jefferson (MIN WR) | 13.74 | 4/7 rec-tgt, 44 yds | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.40 | 0.00 | 8.4 |
| T.J. Hockenson (MIN TE) | 9.43 | 4/5 rec-tgt, 35 yds, 1 TD | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.50 | 0.00 | 13.5 |
| Daniel Jones (IND QB) | 12.61 | 13/22, 108 pass yds, 0 TD, 1 INT; 4 car, 13 yds | 2.32 | 1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.62 |
Box-score stats, unofficial until the league’s final stat correction. Full-PPR: 1 point per catch, 0.1 per rushing or receiving yard, 0.04 per passing yard, 6 per rushing or receiving touchdown, 4 per passing touchdown, minus 2 per interception or lost fumble, 2 per two-point conversion. We computed each line ourselves from the box score and matched it against nflverse.
Our numbers: the sealed NFL Week 7 table, frozen Tue 2026-10-20 10:49 AM ET, before the week’s first kickoff. Every projection quoted here comes from that table. Box score: ESPN game summary, cross-checked line by line against nflverse player stats; injury and in-game details are from the game story on the same ESPN page. A graded postmortem against the seal follows Tuesday.
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